World Cup: England vs. Belgium & Tunisia vs. Panama

These games are almost meaningless. Panama and Tunisia are out; England and Belgium are in.

But, the LOSER of England vs. Belgium has a slightly better chance of winning the World Cup.

England:

• If they lose: 6% to win the world cup
• If they win: 9%

Belgium:

• If they lose: 11%
• If they win: 9%

So I'll track that game on its own as we wind down pool play with a whimper.